Wednesday, October 3, 2018

WTI and Brent Crude Oil charts: at new highs as bulls regain control

WTI Crude Oil chart


The daily bar chart pattern of WTI Crude Oil received twin support from its 20 day and 50 day EMAs and rose to touch a 52 week high of 75.91 on Oct 2, but formed a small 'reversal day' bar (higher high, lower close).

All three EMAs are rising, and oil's price is trading above them in a bull market. Trump's exhortation to OPEC to hike production and put a lid on oil's price appears to have fallen on deaf ears.

Daily technical indicators are looking quite overbought, and can trigger a correction. Note the 'double bottom' reversal pattern on Slow stochastic that preceded the recent rally.

On longer term weekly chart (not shown), oil's price closed above its three weekly EMAs in long-term bull territory. Weekly technical indicators are looking bullish and showing upward momentum.

Brent Crude Oil chart


The daily bar chart pattern of Brent Crude Oil received good support from its 20 day EMA and soared to a 52 week high of 85.45 on Oct 1, before closing a bit lower.

All three EMAs are rising, and oil's price closed above them in a bull market. The almost vertical rally during the past two weeks is unsustainable. A correction may follow.

Daily technical indicators are inside their respective overbought zones. A pullback towards 80 is a possibility.

On longer term weekly chart (not shown), oil's price closed above its three rising weekly EMAs in long-term bull territory. Weekly technical indicators are looking bullish and overbought - hinting at a pullback.

3 comments:

Subhankar said...

Government gives relief of Rs 2.50 per litre on petrol, diesel

Read more at:
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/industry/energy/oil-gas/government-gives-relief-of-rs-2-50-per-litre-on-petrol-diesel/articleshow/66068736.cms

rk77 said...

Are we not in the beginning of the bear market? Should one sell everything and wait on the sidelines?

Subhankar said...

The Indian stock market is definitely showing signs of a bear phase that may last a few more months. Selling everything and waiting on the sidelines is tantamount to 'timing the market' - which is never a good idea (unless you are very sure about identifying market tops and bottoms).

Ideally you should have booked profits a month ago - at the beginning of Sep '18. If you want to sell now, wait for a pullback/short-covering rally to do so.