Friday, November 9, 2018

Divergences Need Price Confirmation

Divergences visible on technical indicators often provide useful advance information of corrections or rallies. Usually, indications are more reliable when divergences occur inside overbought or oversold zones of indicators.

A negative divergence occurs when an index or stock touches a higher top while a technical indicator touches a lower top. That itself may not be an immediate sell signal.

A sell signal occurs when a technical indicator corrects from its overbought zone. A better sell signal occurs when the indicator drops below its neutral zone (viz. '0' line for MACD/ROC and 50% level for RSI/Stochastic). 

A positive divergence occurs when an index or stock touches a lower bottom while a technical indicator touches a higher bottom. That may not be an immediate buy signal.

A buy signal occurs when an indicator emerges from its oversold zone. A better buy signal occurs when the indicator moves above its neutral zone.

Divergence confirmation from several technical indicators are preferable. Investors should also await price/volume confirmation before taking any buy/sell decision.

Technical indicators of global stock indices showed positive divergences last week. Pullback rallies have followed.

Read more here.  

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