Thursday, January 18, 2018

To know why FIIs are buying, look at the Dollex-30 chart

After five straight months of net selling in equity shares (from Aug '17 to Dec '17), FIIs have turned net buyers in Jan '18.

They have been net buyers in 10 of the 14 trading days this month. Today's net buying was worth Rs 18.9 Billion.

What made them change their bearish stance? Anticipation of better Q3 (Dec '17) results of India Inc.? Overbought US and UK stock markets?

May be a bit of both. For a technical reason, take a look at the long-term Dollex-30 monthly chart ( below:

For the uninitiated, Dollex-30 is the BSE Sensex chart in US Dollar terms. The blue horizontal line has been used to mark the Jan '08 top, which acted as a resistance level in Dec '17.

While Sensex has been conquering new highs on a regular basis, the Dollex-30 has just managed to cross above its Jan '08 top after 10 long years.

Remember that when a long-term resistance level gets breached, it usually turns into a support level for future corrections.

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